According to official results, Belarusian president Aliaksandr Lukashenka has been reelected for another turn on 9 August. In the aftermath of the election, massive protests are taking place in the country. In the light of these current events, ZOiS has put together a dossier on politics and society in Belarus.
External Publications by ZOiS experts
Gwendolyn Sasse: Continuity and Change in Belarusian Societal Attitudes (Judy Dempsey’s Strategic Europe)
Among Belarusians, trust in the political elite remains low while the perceived effectiveness of EU sanctions is decreasing. The union must keep the latter in mind when assessing its strategy toward the country.
Bystro #23: Hat der Protest Belarus bereits verändert?
Der Politikwissenschaftler Félix Krawatzek spricht bei Dekoder über die Proteste in Belarus. Im #bystro-Interview geht er auf die Stimmung im Land ein, beschreibt die Gründe hinter den Protesten und erläutert, wie herausforderned wisseschaftliche Umfragen unter schwierigen politischen Bedingungen sind.
Nadja Douglas: Die Beziehungen zwischen Belarus und Russland seit 1991
Die Hoffnung, Präsident des Unionsstaates zu werden, war wohl einst der geheime Wunsch Alexander Lukaschenkos, als er im Dezember 1999 den Vertrag über die Gründung einer Staatenunion mit Russland unterzeichnete. Doch bislang hat das Unionstaat-Modell für Belarus wenige Früchte getragen. Präsident Lukaschenko selbst ist heute mehr denn je in der Position des Bittstellers und Junior-Partners gegenüber Russland.
Gwendolyn Sasse: Belarus’s Optimistic Protesters and Putin’s Intentions (Judy Dempsey’s Strategic Europe)
In an article for Judy Dempsey’s Strategic Europe, ZOiS director Gwendolyn Sasse presents the results of a new survey conducted by the MOBILISE project among protesters in Belarus. A majority of the participants remain optimimstic that the protests will succeed in ousting Lukashenko.
Regina Elsner: "The Church is Always with the People": An Orthodox Paradigm in Political Turmoil (Berkley Forum)
In a blog post for the Berkley Forum (Georgetown University), theologian Regina Elsner (ZOiS) takes a look at the role of the Belarusian Orthodox Church (BOC) in the current protests following the presidential elections in Belarus.
Félix Krawatzek: Young Belarusians are turning away from Russia and looking towards Europe (The Conversation)
Political scientist Félix Krawatzek (ZOiS) presents date from a ZOiS survey in June 2020. Among other topics, the survey asked young Belarusians what kind of relationship they want Belarus to have with the EU and Russia. Other questions dealt with identities and language.
Regina Elsner: Religion and Civil Disobedience: The Orthodox Church and Political Protests in Belarus
"The Church’s attitude towards the protests and political situation in Belarus illustrates some important developments within Russian and Belarusian Orthodoxy since the end of the Soviet Union." For "Talk About: Law and Religion", the blog of the international Center for Law and Religion Studies, theologian Regina Elsner took a look at the church's role concerning the protests in Belarus.
Digital Natives versus Security Hardliners
In DGAP'S Berlin Policy Journal, Nadja Douglas and Félix Krawatzek write about the protest movement in Belarus. Presenting data from a survey among young people in Belarus, they show that trust in key state institutions has been eroding in the first half of 2020 in the context of the Covid-19 pandemic.
Media coverage featuring ZOiS experts
10 November 2021
Félix Krawatzek talks in the Canadian CBC broadcast “The Current” about the migration crisis at the Belarus- Poland border and the consequences this has for the EU, Belarus and Russia (English).
7 August 2021
In an interview with NDR Info, Félix Krawatzek comments on the situation in Belarus one year after the 2020 presidential elections and the regime’s instrumentalisation of refugees against the EU (German).
3 August 2021
After the Belarusian activist Vital Shyshou was found dead in Kiev, Félix Krawatzek gives background information on the repression of the Lukashenko regime and the situation in Belarus on Deutschlandfunk (German).
31 March 2021
In an interview with Gwendolyn Sasse about Belarus, Deutsche Welle refers to a recent ZOiS online survey in which the social and political moods in Belarusian society were evaluated (Russian).
6 October 2020
In an interview for The Globalist on Monocle 24, Gwendolyn Sasse talks about the ongoing protests in Belarus and Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya's visit in Berlin (English, starting at minute 26)
14 September 2020
On SWR 2 aktuell, Gwendolyn Sasse offers some background information to the meeting of Aliaksandr Lukashenka and Russian president Vladimir Putin (German).
10 September 2020
In a radio interview with Deutschlandfunk, Gwendolyn Sasse speaks about the situation of the opposition in Belarus after the arrest of leading members of the Coordination Council (German).
24 August 2020
In reporting on Russia's role concerning Belarus, the Tagesspiegel includes comments by Gwendolyn Sasse (German).