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KonKoop In:Security Report Series/2

Energy Security in Eastern Europe since Decoupling from Russia: The Fragile Balance Between Geopolitics, National Politics and Vernacular Perceptions

by Nadja Douglas Sophie Lambroschini Michael LaBelle Vineta Kleinberga Ana Otilia Nuțu Andrian Prokip 07/11/2024

Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine made decoupling from Russia’s energy system more urgent than ever. A new report gives insights into the steps Eastern European countries have taken and shows how ordinary citizens play a crucial role in energy security.

ZOiS Spotlight 19/2024

What is at Stake in Moldova’s Presidential Election and EU Referendum

by Nadja Douglas 16/10/2024

On 20 October, Moldova will simultaneously hold a presidential election and a referendum on EU accession. The re-election of the incumbent president Maia Sandu and a yes vote in the referendum are likely, but some uncertainties remain.

ZOiS Spotlight 16/2024

The Political and Cultural Fate of Karabakh Armenians in Armenia

by Ivaylo Dinev Nadja Douglas 04/09/2024

Most Karabakh Armenians who fled Nagorno Karabakh in September 2023 were drawn to Armenia as their ‘mother’ state. Previous surveys show that they have a strong Karabakh-Armenian identity and seek their own political and cultural representation. But the Armenian government has other plans.

KonKoop In:Security Report Series/1

Old Fears and New Threats: Insecurity and Societal Cohesion in Russia’s Neighbourhood

by Nadja Douglas Weronika Grzebalska Kornely Kakachia Andrei Kazakevich Asbed Kotchikian Yuliia Kurnyshova Inna Șupac Joni Virkkunen 17/05/2024

In the face of the war against Ukraine, there is tension in Russia's neighbourhood. The first KonKoop In:Security Report is now dedicated to the security policy strategies and discourses on the ground and shows how the neighbouring states are reacting to a threat that is new and yet seems familiar.

ZOiS Report 1/2024

New Arctic Realities: Between Conflicting Interests and Avenues for Cooperation

by Serafima Andreeva Klaus Dodds Nadja Douglas Christoph Humrich Thomas Nawrath 14/03/2024

A new ZOiS Report analyses the various effects of Russia’s war against Ukraine on the Arctic region. The authors also assess how a baseline of coordination with Russia on the vital issues of security and climate change could be re-established for the sake of the common good.

ZOiS Spotlight 22/2023

Why Nagorno-Karabakh Has Been Sacrificed and Why This Could Also Be an Opportunity

by Nadja Douglas 29/11/2023

After the exodus of the Nagorno-Karabakh Armenians from their home, international attention has moved on and their fate has received little attention. And yet, the new situation offers some unprecedented opportunities. Whether they can be seized depends very much on Azerbaijan’s next moves.

ZOiS Spotlight 10/2023

The Significance of the Lachin Corridor in the Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict

by Nadja Douglas 17/05/2023

In the shadow of Russia’s war in Ukraine, the conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan threatens to erupt into violence and, potentially, a major conflagration if a solution cannot be found soon. The Lachin corridor, as the main connection between Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh, plays a key role here.

ZOiS Spotlight 33/2022

Belarus’s Role in Russia’s War Against Ukraine

by Nadja Douglas 02/11/2022

The formation of a joint regional group of Russian and Belarusian armed forces in October has reignited discussions about a possible offensive by Belarus in Russia's war against Ukraine. But even if it does not come to that, as Russia's closest ally, Belarus is already paying a high price.

ZOiS Spotlight 20/2021

Russia’s Arctic Balancing Act

by Nadja Douglas 26/05/2021

For its Arctic Council chairmanship that started this month, Russia has presented an agenda focused on cooperation. But Moscow has also been trying to assert its presence, interests, and authority in the Arctic region in recent years. It will be a balancing act to reconcile these partly diverging goals.

ZOiS Report 3/2021

Belarus at a crossroads: attitudes on social and political change

by Nadja Douglas Regina Elsner Félix Krawatzek Julia Langbein Gwendolyn Sasse 25/03/2021

Following months of mass antigovernment demonstrations in Belarus, an new ZOiS Report widens the focus beyond the protesters and takes stock of the views and preferences of Belarusian citizens at a critical moment.

ZOiS Spotlight 11/2021

The Uncertain Future of Cooperative Security in Europe

by Nadja Douglas 24/03/2021

Arms control and military transparency have endured many setbacks in the last decade. Although the US and Russia recently abandoned the Open Skies Treaty, they have extended New START, the last remaining pillar of their nuclear arms-control architecture. Does this move give a reason for optimism?

ZOiS Report 6/2020

Belarus: From the old social contract to a new social identity

by Nadja Douglas 09/11/2020

Belarus has seen large-scale protests since the presidential election. Nadja Douglas examines the underlying causes of this fundamental breakdown of state-society relations and demonstrates how Belarus has transformed from a social welfare state into a state dominated by domestic security concerns.

ZOiS Spotlight 40/2020

Moldova’s presidential election: little trust in the political class

by Nadja Douglas 04/11/2020

On 1 November, Moldovans voted in the first round of the country’s presidential election. No candidate obtained an absolute majority, therefore Moldova will head for a run-off on 15 November. For some time now, apathy and disillusionment with politics have been on the rise in the country.

ZOiS Spotlight 36/2020

Escalation of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict

by Nadja Douglas 07/10/2020

The conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia has serious consequences, not only for the humanitarian situation. It poses a threat to peace across the entire region. International mediators, with the OSCE at the forefront, now appear to have little leverage over the dominant external actors Russia and Turkey.

ZOiS Spotlight 13/2020

Belarus’s increased vulnerability in times of crisis

by Nadja Douglas 01/04/2020

Even before the current coronavirus pandemic, Belarus faced severe socio-economic problems. With its dependence on Russia and lack of structural reforms, the country had little protection against external shocks. Now more than ever, Belarus needs urgent anti-crisis measures for both the economy and social peace.

ZOiS Spotlight 25/2019

Moldova’s political crisis and its aftershocks

by Nadja Douglas 26/06/2019

Largely unnoticed by Western media, Moldova has experienced a serious political crisis in recent weeks. A standoff between two rival governments lasted about a week—and read like a political thriller, with dramatic developments unfolding by the day.

ZOiS Spotlight 14/2019

Grand strategies and natural limitations in the Russian Arctic

by Nadja Douglas 10/04/2019

On 9–10 April, the International Arctic Forum is taking place in St Petersburg with the aim of discussing the development of the Arctic. While Russia has recently intensified its military activity in the region emphasising its the strategic relevance, the government’s capacities are limited.

ZOiS Report 3/2018

The culture of policing in Armenia

by Nadja Douglas 09/08/2018

In April and May 2018, anti-government protests mobilised thousands of people in the Armenian capital, Yerevan, and put law enforcement, the rule of law, and the overall political system in the country to the test. How have state-society relations evolved over time to make these events possible and what role did state power structures play?

ZOiS Spotlight 35/2017

A challenge of diverging interests

by Nadja Douglas 13/12/2017

The Transdniestrian conflict is regarded as the least intricate of the protracted regional conflicts in the post-Soviet space. The latest round of 5+2 talks has even seen substantial progress. Yet, statements by the parties to the conflict cast doubt on the enthusiasm generated by international observers.

ZOiS Spotlight 24/2017

Postscript to Zapad-2017

by Nadja Douglas 27/09/2017

Much has been written about the recent joint Russian-Belarusian military exercise. While Western analysts have evoked various threat scenarios, which clearly reflects the worsening Russia-NATO relations, reactions within Belarus itself, however, received less attention.

ZOiS Spotlight 11/2017

Is the NATO-Russia Founding Act still relevant?

by Nadja Douglas 24/05/2017

On 27 May 1997, the NATO-Russia Founding Act was signed. Against the backdrop of a drastically changed overall political climate, the question may be raised to what extent this international agreement still bears relevance for the relations between NATO and Russia.

ZOiS Spotlight 7/2017

Armenia after the elections

by Nadja Douglas 26/04/2017

More than twenty-five years after gaining independence, Armenia is yet to undergo a democratically instigated change of power. The parliamentary election of 2 April 2017 was no exception in this regard. According to the international NGO Freedom House, Armenia is a ‘semi-consolidated authoritarian regime’.

ZOiS Spotlight 3/2017

Moldovan President Dodon and the Russian role model

by Nadja Douglas 29/03/2017

The Republic of Moldova currently faces a deep political, if not geostrategic, rift. This becomes apparent when looking at the state leadership: a pro-European, liberal, but fairly discredited government on the one hand and a pro-Russian, conservative, but fairly obscure president on the other.