ZOiS Newsletter
February 2022

"With horror, we at ZOiS are following the news of the Russian attack on Ukraine. The unthinkable has happened. Some of us have family in Ukraine, many have friends there. We are thinking of all of them today. With our research and expertise on Ukraine and the entire region, we at ZOiS will continue to contribute to the understanding and fact-based assessment of the situation."
 
ZOiS Spotlight 7/2022
The Russian Orthodox Church and the Military: Defenders of Sacred Borders
by Regina Elsner
Relations between the Russian military and the Russian Orthodox Church have deepened in recent years. This helps to shape the narrative of a state that is under constant attack and has to defend itself accordingly. It leaves little room for a peace-making role for the Church.

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News
Event Recording
Caring and Solidarity - New Engine for Protests in Authoritarian Regimes? (German)
with Olga Shparaga, Sergey Medvedev and Regina Elsner
The protests in Belarus after the 2020 presidential elections were marked by solidarity and concern for fellow citizens. Have the ideas of the protests against the authoritarian regimes in Belarus and Russia changed? How does this manifest itself in new forms of protest and how does it influence societies?

Watch
 
Event Recording
"Public Opinion Divided Donbas: Results of a January 2022 Survey on Both Sides of the Contact Line"
with Gwendolyn Sasse, John O'Loughlin and Gerard Toal
In a panel discussion, experts John O'Loughlin, Gwendolyn Sasse and Gerard Toal presented the main findings of a large representative telephone survey in the Donbas with 4025 respondents from both sides of the territorial divide. Blame for the ongoing conflict and current escalation, preferences for the final status of the region, reactions to a possible Russian invasion, trust in political leaders and war experiences are analysed.

Watch
 
Television appearance
Gwendolyn Sasse at the Markus Lanz talk show
ZOiS Director Gwendolyn Sasse was a guest at Markus Lanz's talk show on 22 February 2022, where she discussed the consequences of the Russian aggression towards Ukraine with Robin Alexander, Gabriele Krone-Schmalz and Kevin Kühnert.

Watch
 
 
Publications
Report 1/2022
Ambivalent Effects of Trade Liberalisation with the EU: Insights from Moldova and Georgia
by Julia Langbein, Denis Cenusa and Irina Guruli
Does trade liberalisation with Eastern Partnership countries promote inclusive economies? This report on Georgia and Moldova shows mixed effects: trade liberalisation has led to growth and increased trade with the EU, yet the ownership structures of top export sectors paint a more ambivalent picture.

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Spotlight 6/2022
Belarus Votes - Or Not: Lukashenka's Constitutional Reform from the Public's Perspective
by Fabian Burkhardt and Jan Matti Dollbaum
In a referendum at the end of February, Belarusians are due to vote on constitutional changes. But the reform is unlikely to contribute to solving the crisis that has gripped the country since 2020. Opinion polls suggest that many citizens do not support the changes and want to have free and fair elections first.

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Spotlight 4/2022
Understanding the Current Warmongering in Bosnia and Herzegovina
by Jessi Barton Hronešová
The secessionist tendencies of the Republika Srpska have triggered fears of violent conflict – and not just in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Above all, the current brinkmanship shows that without comprehensive reforms, the country will not break the cycle of secessionist threats and permanent crisis.

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Events
Discussion | 25 February 2022 | 5pm | online
Is After the Invasion Before the Invasion? Russia's Aggression against Ukraine - Current Assessments (German)
with Gwendolyn Sasse, Guido Hausmann and Cindy Wittke
With Russia's recognition of the so-called "People's Republics" of Donetsk and Lugansk and the deployment of Russian troops to "protect" these territories, the conflict over Ukraine had reached a new level of escalation on Monday. Now Russia has declared war on Ukraine and is attacking nationwide with its troops. How can Russia's current verbal, political and military escalations be classified from the perspective of history, political science and international law? What conclusions can be drawn for current and future dealings with Russia? This and more will be discussed by renowned experts on Eastern Europe.

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ZOiS Forum | 17 March 2022 | 6:00 pm - 7:30 pm | Kino Krokodil
Litte Man, Time and the Troubadour
with Ineke Smits (Director), Diana Bogishvili (ZOiS), Sabine von Löwis (ZOiS)
The film "Little Man, Time and the Troubadour" is about the troubadour Sipa Labakhua, who travels through Abkhazia as a showman with a puppet theatre and tells his family story. Diana Bogishvili discusses the questions raised about home, flight and return with the director of the film, Ineke Smits. The event is chaired by Sabine von Löwis.

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Media
22 February 2022
In a special programme on the Russia-Ukraine conflict, ARTE Journal interviews Félix Krawatzek on possible developments that could result from the Russian aggression towards Ukraine (German).
19 February 2022
In an interview with rbb Inforadio, Gwendolyn Sasse comments on the Russia-Ukraine conflict on the occasion of the Munich Security Conference (German).
17 February 2022
On Washington Post's Monkey Cage blog, Gwendolyn Sasse and her colleagues John O'Loughlin and Gerard Toal analyse the latest survey data on the attitudes of the population in the Donbas (English).
16 February 2022
Reuters quotes Gwendolyn Sasse commenting on Chancellor Olaf Scholz's meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin (English).
15 February 2022
In an interview with tagesthemen, Gwendolyn Sasse points out possible developments that could follow Chancellor Scholz's visit to Moscow (German).
10 February 2022
The Tagesspiegel refers to Félix Krawatzek's assessments of Russian migrants in Germany (German).
2 February 2022
In the Deutsche Welle news programme, Beate Eschment gives assessments of the current situation and prospects for Kazakhstan (Russian).
27 January 2022
The Conversation publishes a text by Félix Krawatzek and George Soroka on different cultures of memory in Ukraine and Russia (English).
 
You can find more media hits on current topics on our website ZOiS in the Media.